Resources for Students and Instructors
ITS University Workshop #5
November 8-9, 2017 | Turner-Fairbank Highway Research Center in McLean, Virginia
Day 1 Presentation | November 8, 2017
Role of Connected and Automated Vehicles in Transportation Planning
Presenter: Max Azizi
Presenter’s Org: Federal Highway Administration (FHWA)
HTML version of the presentation
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Slide 1: Role of Connected and Automated Vehicles in Transportation Planning
U.S. DOT 5th ITS PCB University Workshop
November 2017
Slide 2: Role of Connected and Automated Vehicles in Transportation Planning
Recent CV/AV Planning Research Projects
- Incorporating CV/AV in Transportation Planning Processes and Products
- Scenario Planning for Connected and Automated Vehicles
Slide 3: Incorporating Connected/Automated Vehicles in Transportation Planning
Purpose of the Study
The study aimed to help facilitate the consideration of C/AV in transportation planning processes and products by States, MPOs and local agencies by reviewing:
- Impacts on planning processes and products
- Impacts on roles and responsibilities
- Impacts on tools, techniques and data
- Impact on organizational skills and expertise
Slide 4: Impacts on Processes
General Considerations
- Understand the technology and its dimensions
- Track technology advancements
- Understand market penetration & efficacy rates for technology and applications
- Forge partnership with new stakeholders
- Utilize ITS approach as a platform for incorporating C/AV in planning processes
- Incorporate Dedicated Short Range Communication (DSRC) into arterial and intersection improvement projects and for data gathering
- Consider data collection opportunities that require small smart technology market penetration
- Plan to manage “Big Data”
Long Term impacts:
- Incorporate potential changes in physical infrastructure requirements
- Considerate shortened project life cycles with more focus on communications
- Prepare for rapid technology changes
- Prepare for change in travel behavior & travel patterns and thereby on transportation planning tools and models
- Plan for multifaceted fleet composition
- Consider potential impact on transportation, land use, and economy
Slide 5: Impacts on Roles and Responsibilities
Summary of Recommendations
New stakeholders
- Communications companies
- Vendors of C/AV equipment and systems
- Vendors providing data management and analytical services
- Companies that will provide security
- Educational institutions
- New niche organizations that have not yet emerged
New Expertise
- Data analyst and data “scientist” to manage “Big Data”
- Hardware, software and communications technology specialists
- Potential shift of analytical responsibilities from the public sector to the private sector
Slide 6: Impacts on Tools, Techniques and Data
Factors to consider in evaluating the effectiveness of tools
- Levels of automation
- Market penetration
- Efficacy rates
- Impact on fleet composition
- Availability of empirical data representing gains in capacity, delay, travel time, speed, and emissions under different market penetration rates
Tools must be revisited and revised to account for
- Changes in infrastructure criteria
- Changes in driver behavior
- New capabilities
Slide 7: Deliverables
- Impact on planning processes and products
http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/55000/55700/55711/FHWA-JPO-16-246.pdf- content is no longer available
- Impact on tools, techniques and data
http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/55000/55700/55712/FHWA-JPO-16-247.pdf- content is no longer available
- 11 illustrative case studies
- Workforce skills and Training
http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/59000/59100/59173/FHWA-JPO-16-364.pdf- content is no longer available
- Primer
- Outreach materials
- Highway Capacity Manual Tech Memo
http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/59000/59300/59316/FHWA-JPO-16-365.pdf- content is no longer available
- Modeling Tech Memo
http://ntl.bts.gov/lib/59000/59200/59249/FHWA-JPO-16-412.pdf- content is no longer available
- Planning Community Outreach Tech Memo
- Desk Reference
Slide 8: Scenario Planning for Connected and Automated Vehicles
Background
- Scenario planning is a tool used by planner to develop plausible futures and highlights major forces that can shape the future
- Helps decision makers to prepare for tomorrow
Purpose of the Study
- Develop several futures
- Document and describe the process for conducting CV/AV scenario planning
Slide 9: Scenario Planning for Connected and Automated Vehicles
Scope
- Technology scan
- Scenario planning workshops
- Workshop #1 on technology
- Workshop #2 - Testing Scenario Implications
- Policy implications
- Outreach materials
Schedule
- This study was initiated in December 2016 and will be completed in spring 2018.
Slide 10: Scenario Planning for Connected and Automated Vehicles
Workshops 1
- Conduct in August 2017
- Panel of Experts
- Target Year 2035
- Focused on Emerging Technology
- Automation
- Connectivity
- Cooperation
- Developed 6 Scenarios
- Drivers - External Forces (Market Actions, Consumer Preferences, Innovation)
- Levers - Internal Actions (Public policies, Infrastructure Investment, Subsidies, Restrictions)
Slide 11: Six Potential CV/AV Scenarios Developed in Workshop #1
- Enhanced Driving Experience
- Managed Autonomous Lane Network (AV Lane Networks)
AV travel is consolidated to a large-scale lane network with significant consumer adoption
- Ultimate Driver Assist (Ultra-Connectivity)
AV adoption stalls, CV becomes ubiquitous
- Slow Roll
- Slow Roll (Minimal Plausible Change)
Accounts for advances in safety technology, TMSO, and mobility services
- Driver Becomes Mobility Customer
- Niche Service Growth (High AV/CV in certain cases)
Niche applications for CV/AV dominate the landscape
- Competing Fleets (Automated TNC fleets compete)
Level-4 AV is safe for most trips but are dominated by competing fleets
- RoboTransit (Automated mobility-as-service)
Strong public-private partnership for system optimization
[This slide contains a diagram of a box with “Trajectories towards CV/AV Advancements: TODAY” inside it. This box is connected with arrows going towards multiple components of future 2035 CV/AV scenarios (Managed Autonomous Lane Network, Ultimate Driver Assist, Slow Roll, Niche Service Growth, Competing Fleets, and RoboTransit). Further image details are listed above.]
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